Sky Sports activities Racing’s Mike Cattermole takes goal at a wide-open contest at Newcastle on Thursday and picks out a hat-trick seeker for coach Tjade Collier.
The Dwelling North Magazines Handicap Chase (1.17) is the second most useful race on the cardboard at Newcastle on Thursday and hat-trick-seeking Ladronne seems to be prone to be despatched off favorite in a race containing some contenders with potential, equivalent to Monbeg Genius, alongside some irritating varieties equivalent to Who’s In The Field whose win ratio is poor however who has now turn out to be effectively handicapped.
THE GROUNDWORK
It is good to comfortable, comfortable in locations after 7mm of rain over the 24 hours into Wednesday morning. However the temperature is ready to plunge beneath zero on the evening earlier than racing and the frost sheets are happening. The bottom may due to this fact be a bit on the cheesy aspect.
CONTENDERS
Monbeg Genius
Two-time hurdles winner from 4 begins who beat two rivals with ease at Chepstow in March over the same journey to right now.
Had his first race for seven months and first since a wind operation when final of 4 on his chase debut in a Class 3 Novices’ Handicap Chase at Aintree, dropping away after leaping the second final. Was that down purely to tiredness or was there nonetheless a problem together with his respiration?
If the previous, then he nonetheless has potential to return ahead (off a 2lb decrease mark) and become involved, as that is simply the sixth race of his profession.
Fashionable Second
Shares topweight with Jonjo O’Neill’s runner however is vastly extra skilled, though can boast simply two wins from 33 profession begins (12 instances positioned) and has not gained for 3 years.
Flippantly raced since becoming a member of Lucinda Russell from Eire at the beginning of final season and was a superb third at Carlisle on his first begin for 11 months in October, however then did not seem to remain 4 miles at Musselburgh final month. Choose to observe.
Ladronne
In terrific kind with victories at Wetherby and Catterick lately. Beat Deyrann De Carjac on the primary event – the pair miles clear – and that kind was franked when the runner-up ran a wonderful fifth within the Paddy Energy Gold Cup. Confirmed his versatility trip-wise when stepping up over an prolonged three miles at Catterick and a 4lb rise appears cheap. Has a lot in his favour.
Indian Courageous
In good kind at the beginning of 2020 with wins over fences at Chepstow and Newbury, each on deep floor, and over shorter journeys than this. Nevertheless, off for 2 years afterwards however ran effectively sufficient at Wetherby on his return in March earlier than one other eight months off solely to fall when out of competition again at Wetherby at three miles in October.
Now reached the veteran stage and exhausting to know what he’s able to today.
Half Observe
Successful hurdler who has unseated on each of his chase begins, on the first fence at Carlisle in October after which 5 out when unfortunate to be hampered by a faller at Kelso. Had jumped moderately as much as then, if a bit hesitant at instances, and exhausting to know what would have occurred.
Solely began his profession underneath Guidelines simply over a 12 months in the past, nonetheless, and nonetheless has time on his aspect.
Who’s In The Field
Very patchy type of late and fell seven out in Ladronne’s race at Catterick. Is 16lb decrease within the handicap than he was a 12 months in the past in consequence and his solely win over fences got here virtually two years in the past now. Simple to oppose.
Bretney
Constant chaser who has gained twice from 10 chase begins with six placings. Curiously, has began favorite on seven of these 10 events and justified that at Hereford final month (Class 5), for which he has been raised 4lb.
Secure, a uncommon customer to this course, has hit some kind and he must be revered.
THE VERDICT
I think there may be extra to return from Monbeg Genius and possibly too from Half Observe who’re the youngest runners within the line-up and the least uncovered.
Bretney ought to give a superb account once more however the vote goes to the in-form Ladronne who’s clearly in positive fettle proper now. His kind has a extra stable look to it.
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